Theme
Elections
Polls, betting odds, results and turnout for Canadian elections, from city halls to provincial legislatures. For the live national numbers, see Polls & Odds.
Municipal
Toronto's mayor polls missed by 10 points. The betting markets did better
Every final poll underestimated Olivia Chow, and three of seven had Brad Bradford ahead. Betting favourites lost or trail in 6 of 19 Ontario mayor races, close to what their own odds implied.
Ontario voters turned on their mayors. 9 of 20 lost or trail
Mayors in Mississauga, Kingston, Windsor, Oakville, Milton, Waterloo and Niagara Falls lost on Monday, and Hamilton's Andrea Horwath is running third. In 2022, every mayor in these cities who ran again won.
Bettors have four sitting Ontario mayors losing today
Betting site Polymarket has markets on 23 Ontario mayoral races where the mayor is running again. Bettors have the mayors of Mississauga, Cambridge, Hamilton and Waterloo losing. Toronto's Olivia Chow is at 86 per cent, though her final polls were close.
Olivia Chow re-elected Toronto mayor, and the polls missed by about 10 points
Chow beat Brad Bradford by 13.1 points with 99% of polls counted. The final polls had her ahead by 2.6, a miss more than twice Toronto's average in close races.
Which Canadian city votes most in local elections? 27 cities ranked
Across 27 Canadian cities over 200,000 people, only three averaged more than 40 percent turnout in municipal elections since 2016. Thirteen of them pick a mayor this week, starting with Toronto and Ottawa on October 26.
Provincial
BC Conservatives win a majority with 64 of 93 seats, a bigger lead than any final poll showed
The Conservatives won 64 of 93 ridings with 48.1 per cent of the vote, a 10.7-point lead over the NDP. The final polls averaged 5.0. Twenty-one ridings moved from the NDP to the Conservatives. Unofficial count, 99.9 per cent of ballot boxes reported.
Alberta referendum results: how each of the 10 questions voted
The option to remain a province of Canada led Question 10, 74.9 per cent to 25.1. Questions 1 to 5 passed with 52 to 58 per cent yes. Questions 6 to 9 failed, with no between 53 and 58 per cent. Unofficial results, 5,501 of 5,540 polls reporting.
BC's close ridings could turn a small Conservative lead into a majority
The Conservatives have led 14 of 17 polls since the Sept. 22 snap call. Move every riding by the same amount from its 2024 result and that lead becomes 53 of 93 seats. A tied vote would still leave them first.
The PQ won Quebec with 28 per cent of the vote, the smallest winning share in any province since 1960.
The Parti Québécois took 59 of 127 seats on 28.02 per cent of the vote, five seats short of a majority. Of 180 provincial elections since 1960, no winning party has had a smaller share.