Whose voters think like you?

What it is. A comparison of your answers with the average answers of each party's voters in the 2025 federal election. It is not voting advice and says nothing about party platforms. People who voted for the same party often disagree with each other.

Data. Canadian Election Study 2025 (CES), online survey, campaign and post-election waves. We use the 11,804 respondents who reported which party they voted for in the post-election wave and answered at least 8 of the 12 questions. Every figure is weighted with the CES post-election weight (pes25_weight_general_all), which the CES documentation describes as matching the census on province, gender, age and education.

People's Party voters (101 respondents, fewer than 100 on 7 of the 12 questions) and voters for other parties are not offered as a match. They still appear on the map and among your closest matches, as “Other parties”. Green results rest on about 210 voters, so treat them as rough.

The scores. Each answer is placed on a 0–4 scale. The closeness score is 100 minus the typical gap (root mean square) between your answers and a party's average answers, as a percentage of the scale, over the questions you answered. It is not a percentage of questions you agree on. We name one party only when its score is at least 6 points ahead of the next; otherwise the result lists every party within 5 points of the top. In our test on real voters, a smaller lead picked the party they voted for no more often than always guessing Liberal would. The figure under Details is the weighted share of that party's own voters whose answers sit further from the party's average than yours do. Closest matches are the 250 respondents with the smallest gap from you; their party totals are then adjusted, province by province, to the official Elections Canada 2025 result, because the survey has slightly fewer Conservative voters than the real vote (35.6% against 41.3%).

How well does it pick out a party? Not very well, and that is the point worth knowing. When we ran real 2025 voters through the same 12 questions, the closest party average was the party they had voted for about half the time (49%). It was right for 77% of Conservative voters, and much less often for other parties' voters, whose answers overlap a lot.

The map. A weighted principal component analysis of the 12 answers: left–right is the combination of answers that varies most between people (it explains 33% of the variation), up–down the next (9%). Skipped answers are placed at the national average. Dots are nudged slightly so identical answers don't sit on top of each other.

The questions, word for word from the CES 2025 English questionnaire (options in the order shown here; "Don't know / Prefer not to answer" counts as skipped):

1. “How much should the federal government spend on the environment?” (Spend less / Spend about the same as now / Spend more; CES variable cps25_spend_env)
2. “How much should the federal government spend on defence?” (Spend less / Spend about the same as now / Spend more; CES variable cps25_spend_defence)
3. “How much should the federal government spend on reconciliation with Indigenous Peoples?” (Spend less / Spend about the same as now / Spend more; CES variable cps25_spend_rec_indi)
4. “Do you think Canada should admit:” (Fewer immigrants / About the same number of immigrants as now / More immigrants; CES variable cps25_imm)
5. How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
   “Too many recent immigrants just don't want to fit in to Canadian society.” (Strongly disagree / Somewhat disagree / Neither agree nor disagree / Somewhat agree / Strongly agree; CES variable pes25_fitin)
6. How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
   “We have gone too far in pushing equal rights in this country.” (Strongly disagree / Somewhat disagree / Neither agree nor disagree / Somewhat agree / Strongly agree; CES variable pes25_equalrights)
7. How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
   “We have gone too far in pushing bilingualism in Canada.” (Strongly disagree / Somewhat disagree / Neither agree nor disagree / Somewhat agree / Strongly agree; CES variable pes25_bilingualism)
8. “Should abortion be banned?” (Yes / In some circumstances / No; CES variable pes25_abort2)
9. How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
   “The government should take measures to reduce differences in income levels.” (Strongly disagree / Somewhat disagree / Neither agree nor disagree / Somewhat agree / Strongly agree; CES variable pes25_govt_act_ineq)
10. How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
    “The government should leave it entirely to the private sector to create jobs.” (Strongly disagree / Somewhat disagree / Neither agree nor disagree / Somewhat agree / Strongly agree; CES variable pes25_privjobs)
11. How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
    “The welfare state makes people less willing to look after themselves.” (Strongly disagree / Somewhat disagree / Neither agree nor disagree / Somewhat agree / Strongly agree; CES variable pes25_deserve2)
12. “Do you think Canada's ties with the United States should be...” (Much closer / Somewhat closer / About the same as now / Somewhat more distant / Much more distant; CES variable pes25_tieus)

Privacy. The voter file loaded by this page holds only each respondent's 12 answers, vote, region and weight, shuffled, with no IDs or demographics. Your answers are worked out in your browser and never leave it. A share link contains only the top party and its closeness score, or nothing at all when no party leads.

Source and licence. Fournier, Patrick, Laura Stephenson, Allison Harell, Daniel Rubenson and Peter Loewen. 2025. 2025 Canadian Election Study. Borealis, V2.1, doi:10.5683/SP3/DFNYOB. Licensed CC BY-NC 4.0: free to reuse for non-commercial purposes with credit. The CES team is not responsible for this analysis. Official vote shares: Elections Canada, 45th general election, table 9.